(Note: I feel guilty posting so soon after Lee posted his excellent piece below on infrastructure, which should be read. I don’t want to jump on top of it. So please give it a read if you haven’t already.)
McCain is up in the polls! It’s the Palin bump! She’s a rock star!
And all over America liberals like us are wondering what ON EARTH is going on here!
I sure am (and so is Lee). In that crazy 48-hour period after John McCain picked Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (Sarah who?!) to be his running mate, I guessed (wrongly, it seems) that McCain’s choice would wound McCain’s campaign by showing how impulsive he is, how beholden to the crazy Christian right he is, and how deceitful the attacks on Obama’s “inexperience” have been.
No one could honestly criticize Obama for being “inexperienced” and then support putting Gov. Palin a heartbeat away from the presidency. So most of the people saying Obama is too “inexperienced” were obviously lying – which we suspected all along of course, but it’s nice to have it confirmed.
During that crazy period after Palin’s candidacy was announced, I talked to friends of mine who’d planned to vote for McCain, who were either disappointed in the choice because they thought it would weaken McCain’s campaign — or else disappointed in the choice because it meant they could no longer support the McCain campaign. I listened to The New Yorker magazine’s political podcast and heard editor David Remnick say he thought future analysts of the 2008 election might look back and say the moment when McCain chose Palin was the moment when he lost the election.
Oh, that it were so!
It appears, instead, that all this talk about Palin “electrifying” the Republican convention and “re-energizing” the Republican base turned out to be true — McCain is now up in the polls, albeit by only a few points, for the first time in months.
Of course, it’s possible that Remnick and the rest of us will turn out to be right after all. Palin — the candidate who was for the “bridge to nowhere” before she was against it, who asked her fellow Christian crazies to pray for an oil pipeline, who sat in church and did nothing while a preacher preached that Israel deserves terrorism, who allegedly fired Alaska’s police commissioner for refusing to fire a state trooper with whom Palin had a family dispute — may yet bring down the McCain campaign.
But until then, we should be asking ourselves what Palin’s apparent popularity tells us. First off, I reject the idea that Palin appeals to swing voters — that is, voters who are open-minded enough to honestly consider voting for either McCain or Palin. Palin is just too extremist in her Christian views and too nasty as a candidate to draw undecided voters. I believe Palin has boosted McCain’s poll numbers by appealing to “conservatives” who wouldn’t vote for Obama in a million years but had been considering sitting out this election rather than voting for McCain.
These people — people who would have sat out the Obama/McCain contest but now feel compelled to get involved in support of their hero, the “hockey mom” from the wilderness of Alaska — don’t see the world the way most Americans see the world. There are many aspects to their worldview, including the widely held attitude that politics is fundamentally an epic struggle between the forces of Jesus Christ’s followers and the forces of Satan. (How could we have forgotten?)
But I want to point to another aspect that I witnessed as a small-town reporter in conservative communities, an aspect that is particularly difficult for many liberals to fathom: the culture of resentment among narcissistic small-town folks who don’t understand why they aren’t being praised all the time.
Consider this section from Palin’s speech at the Republican National Convention:
… I was mayor of my hometown. And since our opponents in this presidential election seem to look down on that experience, let me explain to them what the job involved. I guess — I guess a small-town mayor is sort of like a community organizer, except that you have actual responsibilities. I might add that, in small towns, we don’t quite know what to make of a candidate who lavishes praise on working people when they’re listening and then talks about how bitterly they cling to their religion and guns when those people aren’t listening. No, we tend to prefer candidates who don’t talk about us one way in Scranton and another way in San Francisco. As for my running mate, you can be certain that wherever he goes and whoever is listening John McCain is the same man.
Well, I’m not a member of the permanent political establishment. And I’ve learned quickly these last few days that, if you’re not a member in good standing of the Washington elite, then some in the media consider a candidate unqualified for that reason alone. But — now, here’s a little newsflash. Here’s a little newsflash for those reporters and commentators: I’m not going to Washington to seek their good opinion. I’m going to Washington to serve the people of this great country.
And this:
Here’s how I look at the choice Americans face in this election: In politics, there are some candidates who use change to promote their careers, and then there are those, like John McCain, who use their careers to promote change.
It’s important to remember that Obama hasn’t said anything whatsoever to suggest that he “looks down” on Palin’s experience as a small town mayor. (Imagine how conservative pundits would react if liberals tried to lionize the superintendent of a small-town school district. And yet school superintendents have just as much responsibility and power as small-town mayors.) And no one in the media has suggested that Palin isn’t qualified because she doesn’t belong to the Washington elite — in fact, many have argued that Palin’s outsider status will be seen as an asset. So why is Palin so successful advancing these lies?
Now, with that excerpt from Palin’s speech in mind, consider this line from former New York Mayor Rudy Guiliani’s speech where he describes Obama’s alleged opinion about Palin’s hometown of Wasilla, Alaska.
I’m sorry — I’m sorry that Barack Obama feels that her hometown isn’t cosmopolitan enough.
I’m sorry, Barack, that it’s not flashy enough. Maybe they cling to religion there.
Well — well, the first day — as far as I’m concerned, the first day she was mayor, she had more experience as an executive than — than Obama and Biden combined.
It’s important to recall that Obama never suggested Wasilla, Alaska isn’t “cosmopolitan enough.” He never said anything that even slightly resembled that. So why did the crowd roar when Guiliani delivered this lie?
And finally, just to drive the point home, here is political analyst Tony Blankley on KCRW’s radio program “Left, Right and Center” explaining Palin’s success (interviewed by moderator Matt Miller).
MILLER: One of the sort of classic GOP themes — I think, in a way, it’s very effective for the Republican Party — emerged this week in the reaction to Sarah Palin, where you have the kind of sneering media sort of immediately pouncing on her in ways that I think, to, you know, fair minded people in the middle would say, ‘come on, she’s a compelling life story, she has accomplished a lot, she’s come from, you know, a humble background to become the governor of her state, etc, etc. And that the, you know, the old kind of Nixonian, it’s us average folks against the sneering liberal elites. I mean, how many times did you have to hear people like Rudy Guiliani saying was, maybe Wasila, Alaska wasn’t “cosmopolitan enough” for Barack Obama. This is a guy who is from, you know, New York City. The whole, There’s a lot of hypocricy and game playing in pushing the argument. But I do think this touches a nerve that is very hard for Democrats to deal with.
BLANKLEY: One of the reasons the Republicans have done so well in national elections over the last 30 years is that we’ve been blessed with a liberal media and a liberal Democratic party that cannot help but sneer at about, you know, 65 percent of American culture, the people of small town America. So we benefit from that, and even the stumblebums can figure out how to take advantage of snobs who are our opponents. And it’s sort of remarkable that they can’t restrain themselves even for a season. And, of course it’s ridiculous to sneer at a woman like this who has accomplished so much, whose life is a living model of what most woman would hope that they could accomplish in their lives, having it all, being a mother of five, being a very successful professional person, being admired, and they’ve turned her into an icon in four days.
Is there any truth to this “sneering” accusation against the liberal media and the liberal Democratic party? (Perhaps I was sneering when I suggested Palin’s college wasn’t that impressive, but otherwise I think this post has been largely sneer-free when it comes to cultural issues.) Does MSNBC “sneer” at small town America? Does the New York Times “sneer” at small town America? Does Barack Obama “sneer” at small town America? If not, why is Tony Blankley so comfortable expressing such an ugly lie?
He may be lying, but Blankley is also telling the truth: this is a winning point for Republicans, who prey upon the insecurities of small town narcicists who resent that they aren’t celebrated more intensely in every aspect of our culture. This is why the Republican base responds so excitedly to attacks against “Hollywood celebrities” — because they resent Hollywood for not celebrating their culture as the best, the awesomest, the most supreme.
The fact is this: There are people in this country who feel deep resentment, and this resentment is exploited by Republicans. These people resent liberals because liberals “look down,” on them, “sneer” at them, “don’t think much” of them, think they aren’t “cosmopolitan enough,” etc.
Except we don’t. But it doesn’t seem to matter.
Even when we’re sincerely respectful, these people think we’re sneering. I’m guessing they think this way because they expect to receive praise and celebration, and when their expectations aren’t met, they feel resentment. These people identify with small town mayors, with “hockey moms,” and they desperately want Palin’s experience as a small-town mayor to be romanticized, idealized, worshipped, etc. They simply can’t fathom that her “American-ness” isn’t being celebrated as a model of what we should all aspire to.
Would it help if more Hollywood movies celebrated the awesomeness of white, small-town Christians? What will it take to reassure these people that we don’t think we’re better than them?
It’s hard because I do sneer at them — not because they belong to a small town. I grew up in a small town, as did my brother. My father grew up in a small town. I live in a small town now. I’ve worked in small towns. I love small towns. I sneer at these people not because they are from small towns or because they are Christians but because they are narcisists who feel deeply threatened by any worldview that doesn’t validate the supremecy of their lives. I may be a small town guy, but unlike these nuts, I don’t feel inferior to the big city kids I’ve been lucky enough to befriend. I’ve honestly never met anyone who looked down on me because I came from a small town — but then, I’ve never expected praise for it, either.
Maybe we should sponsor some summer camp programs for small town narcicists who feel inferior and resent their own inferiority. Maybe if they had a chance to actually visit the city and meet some city people, they might overcome their resentment.
Or maybe not.
A few points of disagreement:
1) When Obama made his comment about ‘clinging to guns and religion’ it was in a self-aware speculative context similar to Lawrence Summers’ comment about womens’ inherent ability with science. People on the Right were not inclined to hear that and rather heard him as being ‘elitist’ (as that word has been bastardized recently).
Part of the problem is that it was inaccurate as we later saw in the fall-out from it (in fact, lower-income people vote Democratic more than those in higher income brackets). But it also does suggest a denigrating mindset. Frankly, I think Obama goofed with that comment.
2) While Sarah Palin energized the base, she also energized white women, aka swing voters who tend to focus on questions of personality and character in choosing their candidates (I will try to find the link to the article I read that demonstrates that fact). In the meantime, this is an important thing to keep in mind.
For a deeper analysis than the Time article linked above I offer this:
http://www.city-journal.org/2008/eon0908kh.html
3) As for the extent to which small town people are ‘narcissistic’, and constantly needing praise? I think we need to clarify exactly who we’re talking about because I’m not clear at all from your post. Exactly who are they and why are they that way? I’m much more inclined to look to the so-called ‘Culture Wars’ of the Vietnam era for clarity here.
Comment by aaron — September 10, 2008 @ 1:32 pm
Warning about City Journal. It’s a right-wingish journal, so take what they say with a grain of salt–though their Heather MacDonald called Palin a concession to the importance of identity politics–which isn’t to say that you’re not right. You are right: polling numbers show McCain ahead with self-professed “independent” voters, especially white women.
Comment by Lee — September 10, 2008 @ 2:23 pm
That’s good to know about City Journal but, I’m less concerned about their leanings than with the content of what they say. I’m certainly interested in multiple points of view, especially if I think that a posting has failed to account for something important.
Comment by aaron — September 10, 2008 @ 3:52 pm
Sure, the political orientation of the journal shouldn’t affect what one says. I haven’t read this particular article–it’s on the queue–but others I’ve read have often been deceptively framed and propagandistic in intellectual character. That said, if this article is making the same point you are, about Palin’s appeal to “independent” voters, then it is essentially correct, in my view.
Comment by Lee — September 10, 2008 @ 5:12 pm
To Aaron: I totally agree Obama screwed up with that stupid line about people clinging to guns and religion. But that one stupid remark by Obama (who makes mistakes, and isn’t the second coming of Christ, after all) doesn’t justify the onslaught of “we hate elitists” talk at the Republican convention. I believe Obama’s remark played right into the Republican’s hands, giving them (and Hillary Clinton) an opening to go nuts with the anti-elitism talk. The question is, why is this line of attack so effective if it’s basis is so flimsy?
(Another question is: Why did Hillary Clinton endorse this line of attack? And if the “elitist” label ends up being what sinks Obama’s campaign, will be it fair for us to blame Clinton, who popularized that idea at a time when some people were first being introduced to Obama?)
I have to ask you this: How confident are you in your assertion that some women who might have voted for Obama are now considering voting for McCain because of Palin? I’m sure that Palin has energized conservative women. But is there any real evidence to suggest she is energizing white women who might have voted for Obama? If there is some evidence for this, I’d like to know what it is. It just sounds fishy to me, but then, I thought the whole Palin candidacy was fishy in the first place.
Also, I don’t understand why Palin would appeal to voters who are looking for “character,” as there is no evidence whatsoever that Palin possesses any strong “character” other than her ability to get picked for VP — which is a claim to character that any VP pick would have. Otherwise, she’s a mystery, with Republicans celebrating her as a reformer and Dems pointing to her scandals and flip-flops. Whatever happened to the idea that Americans are cynical about their politicians? Apparently that idea goes out the window when they are introduced to a brand new politician from Alaska — in the space of roughly a week, her “character” somehow energizes white women.
As for these women caring about “personality,” why wouldn’t that make them more likely to vote for Barack Obama? What’s wrong with Obama’s “personality”? I think it’s more accurate to say these women are looking for a woman who reflects their cultural values. It isn’t Obama’s “character” or “personality” that turns off these voters — it’s the idea that Obama won’t validate their culture — especially the part of their Christian culture that thinks homosexuality is a sin and views liberals as Satan’s henchmen.
Regarding your final point: It would be prejudiced and stupid to say that small town people are narcicistic, just as it would be prejudiced and stupid to say women are greedy and foolish. I apologize if that’s what I seemed to be saying. What I meant is that people (presumably small town people) who get fired up over the idea that they are looked down upon by liberal elites and media elites are being narcicistic.
Speaking as a resident of the northeast, I think it’s interesting how carefully we try to parse our words to avoid offending people, and how much joy Republicans apparently take in depicting people from the northeast — and especially from northeastern cities — as snobs. I’m not a snob, and I’m sick of hearing this baloney directed at me or my candidate.
It’s important for us to remember that plenty of small town people vote for Democrats — so obviously they aren’t the people I’m referring to, the people who cheer wildly when Guiliani accuses Obama of not thinking Wasilla is “cosmopolitan enough.”
Comment by Ian — September 10, 2008 @ 5:53 pm
Ian: About Northeast snobs. Isn’t it the height of unintentional comedy that Mitt Romney (former governor of Massachusetts) and Rudy Giuliani (former mayor of New York City) shame the very people that put them into office?
Comment by John — September 11, 2008 @ 9:25 am
To Lee: That’s fine about City Journal – I’ll look forward to your analysis of their deceptively framed articles.
To Ian: Palin doesn’t universally appeal to “voters who are looking for character’”, it’s that, of those voters who weight ‘character’ (whatever the heck that is) heavily when choosing a candidate, Sarah Palin seems to have motivated them.
I suppose to the extent that we define ‘base’ to include those women swung by adding Sarah Palin to the ticket, we could reasonably say that ‘Sarah Palin motivates the base.’ I think it’s worth looking at these subsets (such as white women) just as you write that she ‘has energized conservative women.’ But by saying ‘conservative women,’ aren’t we really just saying ‘those women who were going to vote for Palin anyway’?
It is a fact that McCain’s largest gain after the convention was among White Women who said that Sarah Palin was the reason for their newfound enthusiasm. And that is why there is this nauseating talk about ‘Hockey Moms’.
You write that “there is no evidence whatsoever that Palin possesses any strong ‘character’”. I think we might be using different definitions of ‘character’. People like that she’s a ‘working mom of 5 children,’ that she was head of the PTA, that one of her kids has Down Syndrome. I don’t know why but, they do. So, life story/circumstances is part of this notion of ‘character’.
Believe it or not, some people really are undecided, and they make decisions based on a few sound bites, and a candidate’s life story, rather than poring through policy statements on candidates’ websites. It boggles the mind but, it’s true:
http://www.kcfr.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=94&Itemid=234
(listen to the link for “The Conventions and Undecided Voters” under Thursday, Sept. 11)
As for “why wouldn’t that make them more likely to vote for Barack Obama?” Because he’s already been in the public eye and people have already made up their mind about him. They were waiting to decide until after each ticket was set and when Sarah Palin came on the scene it clinched it for many white women. Sure Jesus was part of it, but again, the ‘working mom of 5 children who was head of the PTA’ is just as big a (maybe a bigger) factor. I don’t think that a Christian clergywoman, by herself, would have had such a big reaction.
Finally, I don’t entirely understand it but, I think the ‘culture of outrage’ that the Right has cultivated has something to do with why someone like Rudy Guiliani (of all people!) is able to get away with the drivel he spewed at the convention. Somehow, I’m not clear that a psychological diagnosis (narcissism) fully accounts for that strange narrative that they’ve managed to create.
There are still plenty of undecided voters that could swing this back to Obama. I just think the remaining undecideds are more fragmented.
Comment by aaron — September 11, 2008 @ 1:16 pm
I think you’re right to point out that many undecided voters are not making this decision based on policies, positions on issues, ideology. I admit it is hard for me to fathom that after a major terrorist attack and a war that cost thousands of American lives, some voters would still be making up their minds based on issues such as “character,” as the word applies to a woman the American public just met recently. Does it take “character” to have five kids and work? Does it take “character” to give birth to a baby with Down Syndrome?
The message of the McCain campaign is: Vote for John McCain because he was held captive in a North Vietnamese prison camp and tortured for five years. And vote for Sarah Palin because she is the mother of a baby with special needs. We’re taking the most important job in the world and turning it into some sort of award or prize for McCain and Palin can pin to their chests. Can they govern? Who cares?
How about this: Vote for Obama because he will bring our troops home, pass universal health care, and undo the damage four years of Republican rule has done to the economy.
Comment by Ian — September 12, 2008 @ 3:04 am
Eight years of Republican rule, or six if you’re only counting from when they had majorities in all three branches of government.
Okay, I’ve been waiting for an excuse to link to the following articles on this blog because I think it would be extremely helpful (to me at least), if we had some common ground from which to discuss morality, which seems to be the crux of every argument about politics (and hence this blog).
The first is the ‘Moral Instinct‘ by Steven Pinker, a professor of Cognitive Science and Evolutionary Psychology at Harvard:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/13/magazine/13Psychology-t.html
The second is ‘What Makes People Vote Republican?‘ by Jonathan Haidt
I’m going to try and make better use of these articles in my posts from here on out.
Comment by aaron — September 12, 2008 @ 11:58 am